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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Monteloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
29%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
Corrupted · 6 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
JANTER · 5 games
80%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Kami · 5 games
40%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Kami · 5 games
40%

Monte

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 12 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 10 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 9 games
22%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 9 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moonlight · 8 games
13%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Crystallize · 8 games
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
QBFY · 8 games
38%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 8 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
485 picks · 214 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
442 picks · 637 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
418 picks · 737 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
398 picks · 562 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
395 picks · 162 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
387 picks · 339 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 764 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
338 picks · 561 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 25%
Hero pool strength60% Night Pulse
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total86% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:36
Night Pulse 86%Monte 14%
The model gave 86% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 44:37.
Game 2prediction correct36:16
Night Pulse 86%Monte 14%
The model gave 86% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 28:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 86%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2