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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 15 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 15 games
53%
Lion
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
79%
Luna
Lunasignature
v1olent- · 14 games
71%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
queezy · 14 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 14 games
43%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 13 games
46%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
queezy · 12 games
75%

Natus Vincere Junior

Lion
Lionsignature
Riddys · 36 games
61%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 35 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Niku · 27 games
56%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
gotthejuice · 25 games
72%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Riddys · 23 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pma · 21 game
38%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Niku · 20 games
70%
Pugna
Pugna
Riddys · 20 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
484 picks · 214 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
442 picks · 636 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 737 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
398 picks · 558 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
393 picks · 162 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
388 picks · 339 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 756 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
340 picks · 557 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total50% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:22
Nemiga Gaming 50%Natus Vincere Junior 50%
The model gave 50% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 40:57.
Game 2prediction correct13:35
Nemiga Gaming 50%Natus Vincere Junior 50%
The model gave 50% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 33:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2