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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Night Pulsewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere Junior

Lion
Lionsignature
Riddys · 36 games
61%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 35 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Niku · 27 games
56%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
gotthejuice · 25 games
72%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Riddys · 23 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pma · 21 game
38%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Niku · 20 games
70%
Pugna
Pugna
Riddys · 20 games
50%

Night Pulse

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
29%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
Corrupted · 6 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
JANTER · 5 games
80%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Kami · 5 games
40%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Kami · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
483 picks · 213 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 635 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 736 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
396 picks · 559 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
395 picks · 160 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
387 picks · 339 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 756 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
340 picks · 553 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total65% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:2
Natus Vincere Junior 65%Night Pulse 35%
The model gave 65% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 24:23.
Game 2prediction missed38:29
Natus Vincere Junior 65%Night Pulse 35%
The model gave 65% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 54:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 65%
Series resultNight Pulse 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2