RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rest Farmerswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Crystal Maiden
aik · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 15 games
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
Lunasignature
v1olent- · 14 games
Pugnasignature
queezy · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 14 games
Rubick
queezy · 13 games
Gyrocoptersignature
queezy · 12 games
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
484 picks · 214 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 630 bans
Batrider
417 picks · 736 bans
Centaur Warrunner
397 picks · 557 bans
Rubick
395 picks · 159 bans
Gyrocopter
386 picks · 334 bans
Pangolier
369 picks · 751 bans
Mars
341 picks · 552 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 52%
Hero pool strength56% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:25
Nemiga Gaming 58%Rest Farmers 42%
The model gave 58% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Rest Farmers in 49:03.
Game 2prediction missed6:26
Nemiga Gaming 58%Rest Farmers 42%
The model gave 58% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Rest Farmers in 18:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 58%
Series resultRest Farmers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2