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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Night Pulsewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 15 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 15 games
53%
Lion
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
79%
Luna
Lunasignature
v1olent- · 14 games
71%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
queezy · 14 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 14 games
43%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 13 games
46%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
queezy · 12 games
75%

Night Pulse

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
29%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
Corrupted · 6 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
JANTER · 5 games
80%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Kami · 5 games
40%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Kami · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
484 picks · 213 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 629 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
418 picks · 736 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
397 picks · 158 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
393 picks · 554 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
386 picks · 329 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 745 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
340 picks · 551 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 52%
Hero pool strength54% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total60% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:8
Nemiga Gaming 60%Night Pulse 40%
The model gave 60% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 31:35.
Game 2prediction missed22:32
Nemiga Gaming 60%Night Pulse 40%
The model gave 60% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 35:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 60%
Series resultNight Pulse 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2