RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spider Pigzswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
B8 Esports
Shadow Shaman
CTOMAHEH1 · 23 games
Grimstroke
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
Magnusoften banned
Dendi · 18 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Dendi · 17 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 16 games
Chenoften banned
Mary_y · 14 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
StoneBank · 14 games
Pugnasignature
Mary_y · 14 games
Spider Pigzs
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 215 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 623 bans
Batrider
414 picks · 734 bans
Rubick
394 picks · 158 bans
Centaur Warrunner
393 picks · 547 bans
Gyrocopter
383 picks · 326 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 739 bans
Mars
337 picks · 549 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Spider Pigzs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:18
B8 Esports 43%Spider Pigzs 57%
The model gave 57% on Spider Pigzs — the game was taken by Spider Pigzs in 33:02.
Game 2prediction correct49:23
B8 Esports 43%Spider Pigzs 57%
The model gave 57% on Spider Pigzs — the game was taken by Spider Pigzs in 40:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpider Pigzs · 57%
Series resultSpider Pigzs 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2