RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
2 Girls 1 Puckloss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
B8 Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
2 Girls 1 Puck
No games played over 6 months.
B8 Esports
Shadow Shaman
CTOMAHEH1 · 23 games
Grimstroke
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
Magnusoften banned
Dendi · 18 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Dendi · 17 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 16 games
Chenoften banned
Mary_y · 14 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
StoneBank · 14 games
Pugnasignature
Mary_y · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
482 picks · 212 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 619 bans
Batrider
405 picks · 734 bans
Rubick
392 picks · 157 bans
Centaur Warrunner
388 picks · 542 bans
Gyrocopter
378 picks · 319 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 725 bans
Mars
334 picks · 546 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% B8 Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
2 Girls 1 Puck 35%B8 Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on B8 Esports — the game was taken by B8 Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
2 Girls 1 Puck 35%B8 Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on B8 Esports — the game was taken by B8 Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 Esports · 65%
Series resultB8 Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2