RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 1:1series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:1
HULIGANIloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 21 game
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 17 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
Dark Willow
OneJey · 15 games
Luna
RAMZES666 · 15 games
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 13 games
Hoodwink
OneJey · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
480 picks · 212 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 614 bans
Batrider
401 picks · 739 bans
Rubick
385 picks · 156 bans
Centaur Warrunner
382 picks · 537 bans
Gyrocopter
371 picks · 313 bans
Pangolier
350 picks · 720 bans
Mars
333 picks · 545 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 54%
Hero pool strength50% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total61% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:32
Dandelions 39%HULIGANI 61%
The model gave 61% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Dandelions in 31:43.
Game 2prediction correct23:38
Dandelions 39%HULIGANI 61%
The model gave 61% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 34:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2