?
arrow_backBack to match
PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Shopify Rebellionloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
46%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 20 games
55%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 20 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 19 games
68%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 19 games
74%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 17 games
71%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 16 games
69%
Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 15 games
73%

Shopify Rebellion

Lion
Lionsignature
Thiolicor · 19 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
SabeRLight- · 17 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Yopaj · 17 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 16 games
44%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Thiolicor · 13 games
54%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
SabeRLight- · 13 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 10 games
70%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Thiolicor · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
480 picks · 210 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
439 picks · 608 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
396 picks · 739 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
383 picks · 532 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
382 picks · 156 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
365 picks · 308 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
347 picks · 708 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
331 picks · 544 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 37%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 2
Model total83% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:19
BETBOOM TEAM 69%Shopify Rebellion 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
43% · 171 game53% · 41 game
ClinkzArteezy
Clinkz
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightgpK~
53% · 119 games49% · 102 games
ZeusSumaiL
Zeus
Batrider
BatriderMieRo
47% · 185 games52% · 375 games
PangolierSabeRLight-
Pangolier
Tiny
TinySave-
51% · 145 games55% · 164 games
ClockwerkGH
Clockwerk
Bane
BaneTORONTOTOKYO
44% · 62 games
Game 2prediction correct36:18
BETBOOM TEAM 70%Shopify Rebellion 30%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 54:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNightfall
50% · 251 game57% · 107 games
Naga SirenArteezy
Naga Siren
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
51% · 142 games50% · 231 game
PangolierSumaiL
Pangolier
Sniper
SnipergpK~
53% · 33 games46% · 204 games
MarsSabeRLight-
Mars
Bane
BaneTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 86 games45% · 259 games
RubickGH
Rubick
Tiny
TinySave-
51% · 289 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 83%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2