RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionswin 2:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Spider Pigzsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Spider Pigzs
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
477 picks · 210 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 605 bans
Batrider
392 picks · 737 bans
Centaur Warrunner
381 picks · 531 bans
Rubick
381 picks · 156 bans
Gyrocopter
360 picks · 304 bans
Pangolier
345 picks · 703 bans
Mars
332 picks · 544 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Spider Pigzs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:32
Dandelions 41%Spider Pigzs 59%
The model gave 59% on Spider Pigzs — the game was taken by Spider Pigzs in 27:37.
Game 2prediction missed17:35
Dandelions 41%Spider Pigzs 59%
The model gave 59% on Spider Pigzs — the game was taken by Dandelions in 36:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpider Pigzs · 59%
Series resultDandelions 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2