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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
One Moveloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 21 game
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 15 games
40%
Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 15 games
53%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 13 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OneJey · 12 games
42%

One Move

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 10 games
30%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Rein · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SSS · 8 games
25%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 7 games
43%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Wein · 7 games
14%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
xn丶e · 6 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Panto · 6 games
17%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
473 picks · 210 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
429 picks · 597 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
389 picks · 738 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
380 picks · 533 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
378 picks · 154 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
351 picks · 302 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
345 picks · 695 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
330 picks · 540 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 41%
Hero pool strength57% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:29
HULIGANI 60%One Move 40%
The model gave 60% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 33:00.
Game 2prediction missed39:29
HULIGANI 60%One Move 40%
The model gave 60% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by One Move in 50:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2