RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Spider Pigzswin 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
2 Girls 1 Puckloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Spider Pigzs
No games played over 6 months.
2 Girls 1 Puck
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
473 picks · 210 bans
Tiny
429 picks · 597 bans
Batrider
390 picks · 740 bans
Centaur Warrunner
380 picks · 533 bans
Rubick
378 picks · 154 bans
Gyrocopter
351 picks · 302 bans
Pangolier
347 picks · 694 bans
Mars
332 picks · 541 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Spider Pigzs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Spider Pigzs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:39
Spider Pigzs 66%2 Girls 1 Puck 34%
The model gave 66% on Spider Pigzs — the game was taken by Spider Pigzs in 29:31.
Game 2prediction correct4:20
Spider Pigzs 66%2 Girls 1 Puck 34%
The model gave 66% on Spider Pigzs — the game was taken by Spider Pigzs in 21:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpider Pigzs · 66%
Series resultSpider Pigzs 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2