RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelionswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
B8 Esports
Shadow Shaman
CTOMAHEH1 · 23 games
Grimstroke
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
Magnusoften banned
Dendi · 18 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Dendi · 16 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 15 games
Chenoften banned
Mary_y · 14 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
StoneBank · 14 games
Pugnasignature
Mary_y · 14 games
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
474 picks · 210 bans
Tiny
429 picks · 596 bans
Batrider
390 picks · 741 bans
Centaur Warrunner
378 picks · 531 bans
Rubick
378 picks · 154 bans
Gyrocopter
351 picks · 301 bans
Pangolier
346 picks · 694 bans
Mars
334 picks · 539 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 35%
Hero pool strength51% B8 Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% B8 Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:10
B8 Esports 56%Dandelions 44%
The model gave 56% on B8 Esports — the game was taken by Dandelions in 36:39.
Game 2prediction missed28:9
B8 Esports 56%Dandelions 44%
The model gave 56% on B8 Esports — the game was taken by Dandelions in 21:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 Esports · 56%
Series resultDandelions 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2