BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 0:1series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Liquidwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Bane
KJ · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 2 games
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 2 games
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 2 games
Snapfire
Wisper · 2 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
KJ · 2 games
Windrangeroften banned
Thiolicor · 2 games
Axe
Wisper · 1 game
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
miCKe · 38 games
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 29 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 28 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 26 games
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
Largosignature
tOfu · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
554 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
475 picks · 565 bans
Rubick
447 picks · 235 bans
Tiny
428 picks · 356 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 513 bans
Puck
321 picks · 850 bans
Beastmaster
315 picks · 795 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 59%
Hero pool strength50% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:27
LGD Gaming 39%Team Liquid 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 39:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosYuma
Shadow FiendmiCKe
LargoTaiLung
InvokerNisha
BatriderWisper
AxeAce
WindrangerThiolicor
HoodwinkBoxi
Treant ProtectorKJ
Shadow DemontOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 73%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1