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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
GLYPHloss 0:1
series probability
10%90%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Liquidwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GLYPH

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 9 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 8 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kezoften banned
JaCkky · 4 games
100%
Largo
Largooften banned
zeal · 4 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
zeal · 3 games
67%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 38 games
68%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
61%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 29 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 28 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
64%
Kez
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
61%
Largo
Largosignature
tOfu · 23 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
553 picks · 342 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
474 picks · 564 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
447 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
426 picks · 356 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
372 picks · 511 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
321 picks · 848 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
314 picks · 795 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 58%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:30
GLYPH 25%Team Liquid 75%
The model gave 75% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 34:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
Beastmasterzeal
49% · 250 games50% · 258 games
BristlebackmiCKe
Bristleback
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidJaCkky
54% · 75 games48% · 172 games
AxeAce
Axe
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
47% · 387 games46% · 347 games
Ember SpiritNisha
Ember Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressNARMAN
50% · 148 games44% · 11 games
Witch DoctortOfu
Witch Doctor
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinJhocam
52% · 49 games56% · 121 game
Keeper of the LightBoxi
Keeper of the Light
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 90%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1