BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Yandexwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 32 games
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 29 games
Warlock
xNova · 29 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 27 games
Primal Beast
Xxs · 27 games
Tiny
NothingToSay · 26 games
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 25 games
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 24 games
Team Yandex
Jakirosignature
Malady · 33 games
Tusksignature
Saksa · 28 games
Tiny
Saksa · 27 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 26 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 25 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 22 games
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
550 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
475 picks · 564 bans
Rubick
446 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
428 picks · 357 bans
Pangolier
371 picks · 509 bans
Puck
321 picks · 848 bans
Beastmaster
313 picks · 797 bans
Jakiro
311 picks · 210 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 67%
Hero pool strength55% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total76% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:30
Xtreme Gaming 35%Team Yandex 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 46:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezAme
WindrangerWatson
TinkerNothingToSay
InvokerChira JUNIOR
MagnusXxs
SlardarDM
PhoenixxNova
HoodwinkSaksa
Lionfy
LichMalady
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 76%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1