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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:1
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Yandexwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Tims · 16 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 15 games
53%
Mars
Marssignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Natsumi · 15 games
60%
Chen
Chensignature
Skem · 14 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 14 games
50%

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 33 games
73%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Saksa · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 27 games
56%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 26 games
62%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 25 games
64%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
78%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 22 games
77%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 19 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
552 picks · 342 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 564 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
445 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
426 picks · 359 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 508 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
323 picks · 849 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
313 picks · 800 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
313 picks · 213 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)19% vs 66%
Hero pool strength57% Team Yandex
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total80% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:29
OG 34%Team Yandex 66%
The model gave 66% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 20:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyNatsumi
52% · 297 games51% · 212 games
KezWatson
Kez
Doom
DoomTORONTOTOKYO
56% · 182 games48% · 447 games
PangolierDM
Pangolier
Puck
PuckYopaj
48% · 301 game50% · 91 game
Night StalkerChira JUNIOR
Night Stalker
Lich
LichSkem
47% · 81 game45% · 110 games
TechiesMalady
Techies
Tusk
TuskTims
53% · 308 games48% · 309 games
RubickSaksa
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 80%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1