European Pro League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rest Farmerswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
484 picks · 753 bans
Batrider
468 picks · 917 bans
Crystal Maiden
457 picks · 202 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 610 bans
Techies
443 picks · 339 bans
Rubick
436 picks · 197 bans
Mars
433 picks · 687 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 723 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Rest Farmers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:33
Dandelions 39%Rest Farmers 61%
The model gave 61% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers in 40:41.
Game 2prediction correct22:47
Dandelions 39%Rest Farmers 61%
The model gave 61% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers in 46:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteRest Farmers · 61%
Series resultRest Farmers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2