Elite League · BO1
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Azure Raywin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Azure Ray
Lion
fy · 25 games
Tinysignature
fy · 25 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 24 games
Luna
lou · 24 games
Techiessignature
fy · 22 games
Primal Beastsignature
Ori · 20 games
Rubicksignature
天命 · 19 games
Zeussignature
Ori · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 768 bans
Batrider
470 picks · 934 bans
Crystal Maiden
459 picks · 201 bans
Tiny
454 picks · 613 bans
Techies
443 picks · 342 bans
Mars
440 picks · 692 bans
Rubick
439 picks · 199 bans
Pangolier
432 picks · 734 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 55%
Hero pool strength58% Azure Ray
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total59% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:28
G2 Invictus Gaming 41%Azure Ray 59%
The model gave 59% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 31:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 59%
Series resultAzure Ray 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1