Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Blacklist Internationalloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 24 games
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 19 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 19 games
Muerta
tOfu · 19 games
Gyrocopter
tOfu · 17 games
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 14 games
Undyingoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
Vengeful Spirit
Seleri · 14 games
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
493 picks · 782 bans
Batrider
465 picks · 944 bans
Crystal Maiden
458 picks · 201 bans
Tiny
457 picks · 614 bans
Techies
449 picks · 337 bans
Mars
441 picks · 694 bans
Rubick
439 picks · 203 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 737 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total82% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:10
Gaimin Gladiators 82%Blacklist International 18%
The model gave 82% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 41:28.
Game 2prediction correct25:9
Gaimin Gladiators 82%Blacklist International 18%
The model gave 82% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 25:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 82%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2