Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
PSG Quest
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 23 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 17 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 17 games
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 15 games
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 14 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Dukalis · 14 games
Lionsignature
OmaR · 14 games
Rubick
OmaR · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
494 picks · 793 bans
Batrider
466 picks · 957 bans
Crystal Maiden
459 picks · 203 bans
Tiny
456 picks · 612 bans
Techies
450 picks · 345 bans
Mars
444 picks · 701 bans
Rubick
443 picks · 203 bans
Pangolier
431 picks · 736 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:24
G2 Invictus Gaming 57%PSG Quest 43%
The model gave 57% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 57:04.
Game 2prediction missed8:26
G2 Invictus Gaming 57%PSG Quest 43%
The model gave 57% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 32:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 57%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2