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Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Aurora Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 29 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
82%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 18 games
56%
Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 18 games
72%
Mirana
Mirana
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 15 games
73%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 15 games
73%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 15 games
60%

Aurora Gaming

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
494 picks · 793 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
464 picks · 956 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 201 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
454 picks · 607 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
452 picks · 347 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
445 picks · 705 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
442 picks · 204 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
428 picks · 728 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 38%
Hero pool strength59% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:21
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Aurora Gaming 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 33:38.
Game 2prediction correct22:13
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Aurora Gaming 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2