Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Azure Ray
Luna
lou · 24 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 23 games
Lion
fy · 23 games
Tinysignature
fy · 23 games
Techiessignature
天命 · 21 game
Primal Beastsignature
Ori · 20 games
Rubicksignature
天命 · 19 games
Zeussignature
Ori · 19 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
494 picks · 793 bans
Batrider
464 picks · 956 bans
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 201 bans
Tiny
454 picks · 607 bans
Techies
452 picks · 347 bans
Mars
445 picks · 705 bans
Rubick
442 picks · 204 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 728 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% Azure Ray
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:25
Azure Ray 58%Entity 42%
The model gave 58% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 44:37.
Game 2prediction correct33:20
Azure Ray 58%Entity 42%
The model gave 58% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 43:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 58%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2