Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Heroicloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Heroic
Gyrocopter
KJ · 24 games
Pangoliersignature
4nalog · 18 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Scofield · 18 games
Faceless Voidsignature
K1 · 13 games
Lion
Scofield · 13 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
KJ · 13 games
Marsoften banned
Davai · 12 games
Tinyoften banned
Scofield · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
494 picks · 791 bans
Batrider
462 picks · 962 bans
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 201 bans
Tiny
455 picks · 604 bans
Techies
451 picks · 347 bans
Mars
444 picks · 706 bans
Rubick
441 picks · 204 bans
Pangolier
426 picks · 730 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 55%
Hero pool strength54% Heroic
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:31
Entity 62%Heroic 38%
The model gave 62% on Entity — the game was taken by Heroic in 33:44.
Game 2prediction missed26:10
Entity 62%Heroic 38%
The model gave 62% on Entity — the game was taken by Heroic in 37:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 62%
Series resultEntity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2