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European Pro League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
SIBE Teamwin 2:1
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Monteloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

SIBE Team

Rubick
Rubick
sunset · 19 games
26%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ряф^^ · 10 games
40%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
sunset · 10 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Rein · 9 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 9 games
33%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Rein · 8 games
38%
Luna
Luna
nesfeer · 8 games
13%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ряф^^ · 8 games
50%

Monte

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 7 games
29%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 7 games
29%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Infernal · 7 games
57%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 7 games
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Moonlight · 7 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Infernal · 6 games
33%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
EcNart · 6 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
QBFY · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
493 picks · 789 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
463 picks · 957 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
457 picks · 600 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
454 picks · 200 bans
54%
Techies
Techies
451 picks · 346 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
446 picks · 707 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
438 picks · 205 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
426 picks · 728 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 30%
Hero pool strength52% Monte
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total68% SIBE Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
SIBE Team 68%Monte 32%
The model gave 68% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team.
Game 2prediction missed
SIBE Team 68%Monte 32%
The model gave 68% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by Monte.
Game 3prediction correct
SIBE Team 68%Monte 32%
The model gave 68% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIBE Team · 68%
Series resultSIBE Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3