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Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 15 games
47%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 14 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 14 games
71%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 13 games
85%
Mirana
Miranasignature
XinQ · 12 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 11 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
XinQ · 10 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 9 games
89%

Gaimin Gladiators

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 23 games
65%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 19 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 19 games
63%
Muerta
Muerta
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
tOfu · 16 games
56%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 14 games
57%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Seleri · 14 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
498 picks · 785 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
459 picks · 970 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
455 picks · 601 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
454 picks · 200 bans
54%
Techies
Techies
451 picks · 352 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
448 picks · 712 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
441 picks · 203 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
425 picks · 726 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 36%
Hero pool strength56% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total57% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:39
Xtreme Gaming 53%Gaimin Gladiators 47%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 41:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinXm
46% · 198 games47% · 333 games
PangolierQuinn
Pangolier
Monkey King
Monkey KingAme
53% · 132 games51% · 62 games
Chaos Knightdyrachyo
Chaos Knight
Primal Beast
Primal BeastXxs
50% · 276 games55% · 50 games
VenomancerAce
Venomancer
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonXinQ
53% · 244 games50% · 257 games
BatridertOfu
Batrider
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorDy
51% · 100 games47% · 248 games
EnchantressSeleri
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct22:21
Xtreme Gaming 54%Gaimin Gladiators 46%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 44:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerAme
43% · 28 games59% · 146 games
LeshracQuinn
Leshrac
Pangolier
PangolierXm
50% · 249 games54% · 90 games
LycanAce
Lycan
Doom
DoomXxs
43% · 188 games51% · 133 games
Lifestealerdyrachyo
Lifestealer
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonXinQ
51% · 174 games48% · 224 games
TinytOfu
Tiny
Phoenix
PhoenixDy
47% · 131 game52% · 177 games
GyrocopterSeleri
Gyrocopter
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2