Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Grimstrokesignature
Miposhka · 23 games
Rubick
Mira · 21 game
Tinyoften banned
Larl · 19 games
Pucksignature
Larl · 18 games
Lion
Mira · 17 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Larl · 16 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Mira · 15 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Collapse · 14 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
501 picks · 784 bans
Batrider
458 picks · 970 bans
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 198 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 601 bans
Techies
451 picks · 351 bans
Mars
447 picks · 714 bans
Rubick
438 picks · 203 bans
Pangolier
424 picks · 722 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:18
Team Spirit 55%G2 Invictus Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 35:08.
Game 2prediction missed36:31
Team Spirit 55%G2 Invictus Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 50:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 55%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2