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Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Blacklist Internationalloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 20 games
55%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 14 games
86%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Panda · 14 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 13 games
31%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
ILICH- · 13 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 12 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Panda · 11 games
64%
Magnus
Magnussignature
ILICH- · 10 games
70%

Blacklist International

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
500 picks · 784 bans
56%
Batrider
Batrider
459 picks · 969 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 196 bans
54%
Techies
Techies
453 picks · 351 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
450 picks · 601 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
449 picks · 717 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
438 picks · 204 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
424 picks · 717 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 63%
Hero pool strength54% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total50% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:4
BOOM Esports 50%Blacklist International 50%
The model gave 50% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 29:03.
Game 2prediction correct23:44
BOOM Esports 50%Blacklist International 50%
The model gave 50% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 1:05:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2