Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
By_Owl Clubloss 0:2series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TpaBoMaH Clubwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
By_Owl Club
No games played over 6 months.
TpaBoMaH Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
549 picks · 341 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 564 bans
Rubick
444 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
426 picks · 356 bans
Pangolier
368 picks · 505 bans
Puck
323 picks · 848 bans
Beastmaster
315 picks · 799 bans
Jakiro
315 picks · 214 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% By_Owl Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% By_Owl Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
By_Owl Club 76%TpaBoMaH Club 24%
The model gave 76% on By_Owl Club — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Club.
Game 2prediction missed
By_Owl Club 76%TpaBoMaH Club 24%
The model gave 76% on By_Owl Club — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Club · 76%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Club 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2