BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:0
LGD Gamingloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Tinysignature
Skiter · 29 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 28 games
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 27 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 26 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 25 games
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 22 games
LGD Gaming
Snapfire
Wisper · 2 games
Bane
KJ · 1 game
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 1 game
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
TaiLung · 1 game
Lion
Thiolicor · 1 game
Naga Sirenoften banned
Yuma · 1 game
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
547 picks · 340 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 564 bans
Rubick
443 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
427 picks · 355 bans
Pangolier
368 picks · 503 bans
Puck
323 picks · 848 bans
Jakiro
317 picks · 214 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 800 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:45
Team Falcons 68%LGD Gaming 32%
The model gave 68% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 57:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomATF
ZeusTaiLung
TinySkiter
AxeWisper
Void SpiritMalr1ne
Night StalkerYuma
ChenSneyking
HoodwinkThiolicor
LionCr1t-
BaneKJ
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 80%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1