Elite League · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Centaur Warrunnersignature
MieRo · 26 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 21 game
Lion
Save- · 18 games
Techiessignature
Save- · 18 games
Mirana
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 15 games
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 14 games
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 14 games
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 23 games
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 19 games
Muerta
tOfu · 19 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 18 games
Gyrocoptersignature
tOfu · 15 games
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 14 games
Undyingoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
Vengeful Spirit
Seleri · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
502 picks · 787 bans
Batrider
463 picks · 962 bans
Mars
454 picks · 720 bans
Techies
454 picks · 352 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 599 bans
Crystal Maiden
447 picks · 196 bans
Rubick
435 picks · 207 bans
Pangolier
423 picks · 710 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 37%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head8 – 2
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:32
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Gaimin Gladiators 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 51:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeNightfall
RazorQuinn
LeshracgpK~
Weaverdyrachyo
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
AxeAce
Shadow DemonSave-
TinytOfu
Elder TitanTORONTOTOKYO
EnchantressSeleri
Game 2prediction missed30:29
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Gaimin Gladiators 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 1:16:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerNightfall
Dragon KnightQuinn
LeshracgpK~
Marcidyrachyo
PugnaSave-
EnigmaAce
Primal BeastMieRo
RubicktOfu
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
IoSeleri
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2