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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Tims · 16 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Tims · 16 games
44%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 15 games
47%
Mars
Marssignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Natsumi · 15 games
60%
Chen
Chensignature
Skem · 14 games
64%

Xtreme Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 31 game
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 30 games
47%
Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 30 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Xxs · 28 games
57%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 27 games
44%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 25 games
72%
Tiny
Tiny
NothingToSay · 25 games
48%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 24 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
546 picks · 340 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 564 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
443 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
426 picks · 355 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
367 picks · 503 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
323 picks · 847 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
317 picks · 214 bans
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
315 picks · 800 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)20% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total55% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:37
OG 47%Xtreme Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 45:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaNatsumi
46% · 106 games51% · 384 games
TinyAme
Tiny
Pangolier
PangolierYopaj
44% · 441 game52% · 399 games
SnapfireNothingToSay
Snapfire
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerTORONTOTOKYO
44% · 213 games47% · 414 games
BeastmasterXxs
Beastmaster
Enchantress
EnchantressSkem
44% · 230 games61% · 139 games
Keeper of the Lightfy
Keeper of the Light
Hoodwink
HoodwinkTims
47% · 573 games65% · 227 games
BanexNova
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 55%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1