Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
OG
Hoodwink
Ari · 31 game
Marssignature
Wisper · 22 games
Rubick
Ari · 21 game
Iooften banned
Ceb · 18 games
Tinyoften banned
Ari · 18 games
Batridersignature
Ceb · 17 games
Windrangeroften banned
Ceb · 17 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
bzm · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
502 picks · 786 bans
Batrider
461 picks · 956 bans
Mars
454 picks · 720 bans
Techies
452 picks · 352 bans
Tiny
451 picks · 597 bans
Crystal Maiden
444 picks · 195 bans
Rubick
434 picks · 204 bans
Pangolier
421 picks · 708 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength55% OG
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:22
G2 Invictus Gaming 48%OG 52%
The model gave 52% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 32:17.
Game 2prediction correct22:29
G2 Invictus Gaming 48%OG 52%
The model gave 52% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 46:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 52%
Accuracy by game2 of 2