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Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 22 games
68%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 19 games
47%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 15 games
60%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
33 · 14 games
64%
Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 13 games
54%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 12 games
67%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Boxi · 11 games
64%

BETBOOM TEAM

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
MieRo · 26 games
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 21 game
81%
Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 18 games
72%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 17 games
59%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 15 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 14 games
79%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
502 picks · 786 bans
56%
Batrider
Batrider
461 picks · 956 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
454 picks · 720 bans
53%
Techies
Techies
452 picks · 352 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
451 picks · 597 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
444 picks · 195 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
434 picks · 204 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
421 picks · 708 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total53% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:8
Team Liquid 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 28:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Marci
MarcimiCKe
48% · 43 games43% · 211 games
TimbersawMieRo
Timbersaw
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinNisha
47% · 158 games48% · 38 games
VipergpK~
Viper
Doom
Doom33
50% · 270 games51% · 134 games
WindrangerNightfall
Windranger
Io
IoBoxi
47% · 67 games54% · 142 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Disruptor
DisruptoriNSaNiA
54% · 184 games57% · 197 games
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
Mirana
Game 2prediction missed27:6
Team Liquid 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 23:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunamiCKe
46% · 118 games54% · 97 games
LeshracgpK~
Leshrac
Kunkka
KunkkaNisha
51% · 108 games46% · 163 games
SvenNightfall
Sven
Beastmaster
Beastmaster33
55% · 138 games37% · 40 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Techies
TechiesBoxi
51% · 251 game52% · 208 games
LionSave-
Lion
Oracle
OracleiNSaNiA
56% · 30 games47% · 137 games
SilencerTORONTOTOKYO
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 53%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2