Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Hoodwink
Ari · 31 game
Marssignature
Wisper · 22 games
Rubick
Ari · 19 games
Iooften banned
Ceb · 18 games
Tinyoften banned
Ari · 18 games
Batridersignature
Ceb · 17 games
Windrangeroften banned
Ceb · 17 games
Magnusoften banned
Wisper · 16 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
499 picks · 783 bans
Batrider
457 picks · 954 bans
Mars
454 picks · 717 bans
Techies
450 picks · 352 bans
Tiny
449 picks · 596 bans
Crystal Maiden
443 picks · 194 bans
Rubick
430 picks · 203 bans
Pangolier
418 picks · 705 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 61%
Hero pool strength56% OG
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total55% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:38
OG 55%Entity 45%
The model gave 55% on OG — the game was taken by Entity in 37:37.
Game 2prediction missed7:39
OG 55%Entity 45%
The model gave 55% on OG — the game was taken by Entity in 25:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 55%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2