RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Monteloss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelionswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Monte
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 7 games
Enigmaoften banned
Infernal · 7 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Moonlight · 7 games
Linasignature
Moonlight · 6 games
Marsoften banned
Infernal · 6 games
Vengeful Spirit
EcNart · 6 games
Hoodwink
QBFY · 5 games
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 779 bans
Mars
452 picks · 710 bans
Techies
447 picks · 351 bans
Batrider
446 picks · 937 bans
Tiny
440 picks · 590 bans
Crystal Maiden
432 picks · 191 bans
Rubick
417 picks · 201 bans
Lion
414 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 37%
Hero pool strength52% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Monte 32%Dandelions 68%
The model gave 68% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions.
Game 2prediction correct20:43
Monte 32%Dandelions 68%
The model gave 68% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 42:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 68%
Series resultDandelions 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2