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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Aurora Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 34 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 29 games
55%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
64%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 28 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 22 games
82%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
58%

Aurora Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 60 games
67%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 55 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 51 game
65%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 49 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 45 games
71%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 40 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Ws · 38 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 36 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
546 picks · 339 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
476 picks · 566 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
443 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
425 picks · 353 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
367 picks · 499 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
322 picks · 845 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
318 picks · 216 bans
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
314 picks · 801 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 65%
Hero pool strength51% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total69% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:3
BETBOOM TEAM 40%Aurora Gaming 60%
The model gave 60% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 25:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerKiritych
52% · 372 games39% · 462 games
TinyNightfall
Tiny
Largo
LargoMieRo
59% · 235 games48% · 372 games
Storm SpiritMikoto
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
53% · 688 games50% · 262 games
Centaur WarrunnerWs
Centaur Warrunner
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
59% · 176 games42% · 266 games
PhoenixKaori
Phoenix
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKataomi
49% · 262 games49% · 371 game
HoodwinkMira
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 69%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1