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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 34 games
65%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 29 games
72%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 24 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
64%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 20 games
65%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 20 games
80%

Xtreme Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 31 game
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 30 games
47%
Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 30 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Xxs · 28 games
57%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 26 games
46%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 25 games
72%
Tiny
Tiny
NothingToSay · 25 games
48%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 24 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
546 picks · 339 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
476 picks · 566 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
443 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
425 picks · 353 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
367 picks · 499 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
322 picks · 845 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
318 picks · 216 bans
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
314 picks · 801 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% PARIVISION
Head-to-head5 – 4
Model total87% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:11
PARIVISION 76%Xtreme Gaming 24%
The model gave 76% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 31:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautSatanic
50% · 104 games46% · 195 games
MarsXxs
Mars
Viper
ViperNo[o]ne
42% · 90 games48% · 130 games
MuertaAme
Muerta
Slardar
SlardarNoticed
52% · 249 games54% · 137 games
SnapfireNothingToSay
Snapfire
Io
Io9Class
56% · 27 games41% · 71 game
Keeper of the Lightfy
Keeper of the Light
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorDukalis
64% · 75 games55% · 12 games
Elder TitanxNova
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 87%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1