RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 0:2series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelionswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yellow Submarine
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 21 game
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 18 games
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 17 games
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 16 games
Techies
rue · 14 games
Crystal Maiden
asdekor_r · 12 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Satanic · 12 games
Luna
Satanic · 12 games
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
482 picks · 775 bans
Mars
446 picks · 707 bans
Techies
439 picks · 347 bans
Tiny
438 picks · 582 bans
Batrider
437 picks · 928 bans
Crystal Maiden
425 picks · 190 bans
Lion
414 picks · 357 bans
Rubick
413 picks · 198 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:32
Yellow Submarine 79%Dandelions 21%
The model gave 79% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Dandelions in 37:47.
Game 2prediction missed13:23
Yellow Submarine 79%Dandelions 21%
The model gave 79% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Dandelions in 38:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 79%
Series resultDandelions 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2