?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
GLYPHloss 0:1
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:1
LGD Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GLYPH

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 7 games
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 6 games
83%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kezoften banned
JaCkky · 4 games
100%
Largo
Largooften banned
zeal · 4 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
zeal · 3 games
67%

LGD Gaming

Bane
Bane
KJ · 1 game
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 1 game
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TaiLung · 1 game
100%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Yuma · 1 game
100%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Wisper · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
546 picks · 338 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
475 picks · 566 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
442 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
425 picks · 352 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
367 picks · 499 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
322 picks · 844 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
318 picks · 216 bans
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
314 picks · 801 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:30
GLYPH 39%LGD Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 36:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeJaCkky
47% · 107 games55% · 36 games
NecrophosYuma
Necrophos
Bristleback
Bristlebackzeal
50% · 130 games50% · 195 games
KezTaiLung
Kez
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
49% · 195 games43% · 275 games
SnapfireWisper
Snapfire
Rubick
RubickJhocam
49% · 107 games55% · 112 games
Treant ProtectorKJ
Treant Protector
Phoenix
PhoenixNARMAN
49% · 221 game54% · 142 games
LionThiolicor
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 71%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1