?
arrow_backBack to match
Elite League · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
10%90%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Mars
Marsoften banned
Alberkaaa · 14 games
43%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Solo · 12 games
42%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 10 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
RAMZES666 · 9 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 9 games
78%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
RAMZES666 · 8 games
38%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
DarkLord^ · 8 games
38%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
DarkLord^ · 8 games
75%

Tundra Esports

Techies
Techiessignature
9Class · 30 games
83%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 23 games
74%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Tobi · 17 games
82%
Tiny
Tinysignature
9Class · 16 games
63%
Luna
Lunasignature
Pure~ · 15 games
80%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Pure~ · 11 games
73%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Tobi · 11 games
91%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Whitemon · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
478 picks · 770 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
442 picks · 705 bans
53%
Techies
Techies
436 picks · 347 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
434 picks · 920 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 573 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
419 picks · 189 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
414 picks · 357 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
407 picks · 197 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 66%
Hero pool strength61% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total90% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:34
9Pandas 22%Tundra Esports 78%
The model gave 78% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 41:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerDarkLord^
52% · 197 games50% · 162 games
LunaPure~
Luna
Zeus
Zeuskiyotaka
45% · 82 games53% · 184 games
PuckTopson
Puck
Timbersaw
TimbersawAlberkaaa
48% · 358 games52% · 259 games
Centaur WarrunnerTobi
Centaur Warrunner
Tiny
TinyEkki
50% · 348 games48% · 282 games
TechiesWhitemon
Techies
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSolo
51% · 281 game51% · 379 games
Rubick9Class
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct19:44
9Pandas 22%Tundra Esports 78%
The model gave 78% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 37:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
47% · 114 games47% · 198 games
MorphlingPure~
Morphling
Luna
LunaDarkLord^
48% · 193 games49% · 190 games
Centaur WarrunnerTobi
Centaur Warrunner
Mars
MarsAlberkaaa
52% · 272 games52% · 173 games
PugnaTopson
Pugna
Undying
UndyingSolo
49% · 296 games56% · 216 games
TechiesWhitemon
Techies
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanEkki
44% · 34 games54% · 132 games
Disruptor9Class
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 90%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2