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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 34 games
65%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 29 games
72%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 24 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
74%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
64%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 20 games
65%
Tiny
Tiny
Satanic · 20 games
55%

OG

Mars
Marssignature
Yopaj · 16 games
63%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Tims · 16 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 15 games
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 15 games
47%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
40%
Chen
Chensignature
Skem · 14 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yopaj · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
545 picks · 335 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
473 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
439 picks · 233 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
423 picks · 353 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
365 picks · 495 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
322 picks · 841 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
320 picks · 217 bans
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
314 picks · 800 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 22%
Hero pool strength58% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total88% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:20
PARIVISION 75%OG 25%
The model gave 75% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 35:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
48% · 181 game54% · 201 game
WindrangerNatsumi
Windranger
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNoticed
50% · 321 game52% · 278 games
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Phoenix
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
47% · 331 game51% · 256 games
SnapfireYopaj
Snapfire
Rubick
Rubick9Class
47% · 255 games52% · 229 games
EnchantressSkem
Enchantress
Oracle
OracleDukalis
52% · 50 games48% · 174 games
ClockwerkTims
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 88%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1