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PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Leviatanwin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Leviatan

Rubick
Rubick
Taiga · 3 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
kpii · 2 games
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Stojkov · 2 games
100%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Sammyboy · 2 games
100%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sammyboy · 1 game
100%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
kpii · 1 game
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Taiga · 1 game
100%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 1 game
100%

Infinity Esports

Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 6 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Oscar · 6 games
83%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Yadomi · 6 games
67%
Techies
Techies
Demon · 6 games
17%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Parker · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Yadomi · 5 games
60%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Demon · 4 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
453 picks · 727 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
422 picks · 683 bans
53%
Techies
Techies
418 picks · 337 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
407 picks · 355 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
406 picks · 527 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
404 picks · 886 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
381 picks · 181 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
380 picks · 174 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 45%
Hero pool strength55% Leviatan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Leviatan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:31
Leviatan 53%Infinity Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on Leviatan — the game was taken by Leviatan in 35:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinStojkov
48% · 148 games56% · 47 games
LinaParker
Lina
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerSammyboy
34% · 37 games58% · 159 games
Ember SpiritPiPi
Ember Spirit
Enigma
EnigmaTaiga
40% · 63 games52% · 43 games
DawnbreakerOscar
Dawnbreaker
Tiny
Tinykpii
46% · 152 games53% · 102 games
TuskDemon
Tusk
59% · 49 games
Dark WillowYadomi
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct19:7
Leviatan 55%Infinity Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on Leviatan — the game was taken by Leviatan in 24:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaSammyboy
47% · 86 games52% · 109 games
TerrorbladeParker
Terrorblade
Kunkka
Kunkkakpii
57% · 159 games35% · 65 games
LinaPiPi
Lina
Death Prophet
Death ProphetStojkov
50% · 82 games41% · 74 games
TidehunterOscar
Tidehunter
Chen
ChenTaiga
66% · 107 games52% · 123 games
Crystal MaidenYadomi
Crystal Maiden
41% · 63 games
HoodwinkDemon
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteLeviatan · 56%
Series resultLeviatan 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2