PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Zeroloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Zero
Lion
Ponlo · 14 games
Kunkkasignature
BEYOND · 12 games
Miranasignature
zzq · 12 games
Batridersignature
iceice · 11 games
Brewmasteroften banned
BEYOND · 10 games
Primal Beastsignature
7e · 10 games
Lunaoften banned
poyoyo · 9 games
Tinysignature
Ponlo · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
449 picks · 721 bans
Mars
422 picks · 676 bans
Techies
416 picks · 333 bans
Lion
404 picks · 360 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 523 bans
Batrider
399 picks · 882 bans
Crystal Maiden
375 picks · 168 bans
Rubick
375 picks · 180 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 55%
Hero pool strength57% Team Zero
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total65% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:33
G2 Invictus Gaming 65%Team Zero 35%
The model gave 65% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Zero in 36:09.
Game 2prediction missed26:11
G2 Invictus Gaming 65%Team Zero 35%
The model gave 65% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Zero in 38:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 65%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2