RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rest Farmerswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 13 games
Pugnasignature
queezy · 13 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MikSa` · 11 games
Pucksignature
nicky`cool · 11 games
Rubick
queezy · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
aik · 9 games
Earthshakersignature
Hellscream · 8 games
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
433 picks · 707 bans
Mars
412 picks · 664 bans
Techies
409 picks · 326 bans
Lion
398 picks · 360 bans
Tiny
394 picks · 503 bans
Batrider
392 picks · 865 bans
Crystal Maiden
369 picks · 161 bans
Vengeful Spirit
364 picks · 361 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 68%
Hero pool strength55% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Rest Farmers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 42%Rest Farmers 58%
The model gave 58% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers.
Game 2prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 42%Rest Farmers 58%
The model gave 58% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers.
Model check result
Model favoriteRest Farmers · 58%
Series resultRest Farmers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2