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RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 1:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 20 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 14 games
64%
Mars
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 13 games
46%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
erase · 11 games
64%
Luna
Luna
Satanic · 11 games
45%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 11 games
36%
Tusk
Tusk
aik · 11 games
45%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
rue · 10 games
30%

Nemiga Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 13 games
46%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
aik · 13 games
62%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MikSa` · 11 games
36%
Puck
Pucksignature
nicky`cool · 11 games
64%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 10 games
40%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Hellscream · 9 games
78%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
aik · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
424 picks · 692 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
403 picks · 650 bans
54%
Techies
Techies
400 picks · 324 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
394 picks · 361 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
384 picks · 475 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
382 picks · 847 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
359 picks · 359 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
353 picks · 166 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total51% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:30
Yellow Submarine 49%Nemiga Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 34:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerSatanic
55% · 82 games47% · 155 games
Gyrocopterv1olent-
Gyrocopter
Pangolier
Pangoliererase
44% · 228 games57% · 107 games
Leshracnicky`cool
Leshrac
Timbersaw
Timbersawemptiness
49% · 169 games51% · 64 games
VisageMikSa`
Visage
Techies
Techiesrue
46% · 206 games49% · 262 games
Tinyqueezy
Tiny
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonasdekor_r
53% · 126 games50% · 223 games
Disruptoraik
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed21:12
Yellow Submarine 49%Nemiga Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 38:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaSatanic
42% · 71 game52% · 123 games
Juggernautv1olent-
Juggernaut
Pangolier
Pangoliererase
47% · 302 games60% · 105 games
Leshracnicky`cool
Leshrac
Mars
Marsemptiness
44% · 179 games52% · 290 games
BeastmasterMikSa`
Beastmaster
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonrue
50% · 202 games52% · 448 games
Batriderqueezy
Batrider
Techies
Techiesasdekor_r
48% · 411 games51% · 199 games
Disruptoraik
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2