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PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
One Moveloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Techies
Techies
OneJey · 11 games
55%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 10 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 9 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OneJey · 9 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 8 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 7 games
57%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Bb3px · 7 games
43%
Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 7 games
43%

One Move

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 7 games
14%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Panto · 6 games
17%
Lion
Lion
queezy · 5 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
AfterLife · 5 games
20%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
chempik · 4 games
25%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
chempik · 4 games
25%
Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
chempik · 4 games
50%
Techies
Techies
Xakoda · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
424 picks · 692 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
403 picks · 650 bans
54%
Techies
Techies
400 picks · 324 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
394 picks · 361 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
384 picks · 475 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
382 picks · 847 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
359 picks · 359 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
353 picks · 166 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 41%
Hero pool strength54% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:13
HULIGANI 50%One Move 50%
The model gave 50% on One Move — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 39:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeRAMZES666
55% · 172 games49% · 201 game
Templar Assassinnesfeer
Templar Assassin
Death Prophet
Death Prophetre1bl
53% · 102 games39% · 80 games
Zeusxn丶e
Zeus
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightBb3px
54% · 139 games46% · 209 games
Centaur WarrunnerSSS
Centaur Warrunner
Rubick
RubickOneJey
44% · 319 games49% · 257 games
Crystal MaidenRein
Crystal Maiden
Pugna
PugnaPanto
58% · 149 games51% · 134 games
GrimstrokeXakoda
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction missed57:38
HULIGANI 49%One Move 51%
The model gave 51% on One Move — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 58:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomBb3px
47% · 196 games54% · 211 games
Keeper of the Lightxn丶e
Keeper of the Light
Windranger
WindrangerRAMZES666
43% · 147 games56% · 63 games
Lifestealernesfeer
Lifestealer
Void Spirit
Void Spiritre1bl
47% · 150 games53% · 30 games
Night StalkerSSS
Night Stalker
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPanto
56% · 113 games51% · 229 games
PugnaRein
Pugna
Dark Willow
Dark WillowOneJey
42% · 115 games52% · 188 games
Shadow DemonXakoda
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 50%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2