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PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Pacific esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Panda · 14 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 11 games
64%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 11 games
55%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
55%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 10 games
30%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Panda · 9 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
44%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Pakazs · 8 games
63%

Pacific esports

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mingatte · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Mingatte · 1 game
0%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Mingatte · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
423 picks · 691 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
401 picks · 648 bans
54%
Techies
Techies
398 picks · 324 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
395 picks · 361 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
384 picks · 473 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
382 picks · 845 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
361 picks · 359 bans
51%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
351 picks · 157 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 46%
Hero pool strength57% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total87% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct50:22
BOOM Esports 87%Pacific esports 13%
The model gave 87% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 41:48.
Game 2prediction correct38:23
BOOM Esports 87%Pacific esports 13%
The model gave 87% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 33:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 87%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2