PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Gods of Hellloss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
4A4 amigoswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gods of Hell
No games played over 6 months.
4 amigos
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
419 picks · 680 bans
Mars
396 picks · 637 bans
Lion
392 picks · 360 bans
Techies
392 picks · 320 bans
Batrider
377 picks · 831 bans
Tiny
376 picks · 455 bans
Vengeful Spirit
357 picks · 358 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 588 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Gods of Hell
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% 4 amigos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:29
Gods of Hell 32%4 amigos 68%
The model gave 68% on 4 amigos — the game was taken by 4 amigos in 43:31.
Game 2prediction correct23:7
Gods of Hell 32%4 amigos 68%
The model gave 68% on 4 amigos — the game was taken by 4 amigos in 19:57.
Model check result
Model favorite4 amigos · 68%
Series result4 amigos 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2