PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionNGNext Generationloss 1:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
4A4 amigoswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Next Generation
No games played over 6 months.
4 amigos
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
412 picks · 664 bans
Mars
390 picks · 626 bans
Lion
387 picks · 359 bans
Techies
386 picks · 315 bans
Batrider
371 picks · 811 bans
Tiny
367 picks · 433 bans
Vengeful Spirit
355 picks · 358 bans
Hoodwink
339 picks · 205 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Next Generation
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% 4 amigos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Next Generation 42%4 amigos 58%
The model gave 58% on 4 amigos — the game was taken by 4 amigos.
Game 2prediction missed
Next Generation 42%4 amigos 58%
The model gave 58% on 4 amigos — the game was taken by Next Generation.
Game 3prediction correct
Next Generation 42%4 amigos 58%
The model gave 58% on 4 amigos — the game was taken by 4 amigos.
Model check result
Model favorite4 amigos · 58%
Series result4 amigos 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3